Buy Alert: Buckle Inc. (BKE)

TRADE INSTRUCTIONS
Date: 
November 10, 2016
Name: Buckle Inc.
Symbol: BKE
Type: Open
Limit: Buy below $24.50

TRADE TARGETS
Holding Period: 
 3 months
Target Return: 14.3%
Annualized Return:
 57.2%
Target Price: $28.00
Stop Loss Level: $20.35

TRADE RATIONALE

The Buckle, Inc. is a retailer of casual apparel, footwear and accessories for young men and women. The Company markets a selection of brand name casual apparel, including denims, other casual bottoms, tops, sportswear, outerwear, accessories and footwear. It operates approximately 468 retail stores in over 44 states throughout the United States under the names of Buckle and The Buckle.

Our Rapids Profits Matrix triggered this buy alert based on BKE’s low debt, high long term growth rate in EPS (earnings per shares) and low PER (price to earnings ratio) of less than 9 times trailing earnings. Although we do not place much value on dividend yield since our holding periods are so short, BKE’s dividend yield of 4.8% should make it attractive to other investors looking for solid equity-income plays as an alternative to rapidly declining bond prices which should help push its price up.

Like the rest of the stock market, BKE jumped higher this week after Donald Trump’s unexpected victory in the U.S. presidential election and just moved above its 50-day MA so it looks like it has pretty clear sailing up to some resistance near $26. If it breaks through that, then our $28 target price should be achievable if the company’s upcoming earnings report (due November 18th) meets or exceeds expectations.

Stock Talk

Larry Johnson

Larry Johnson

I’m in early at 23.15. It’s got a pretty good swing going on.
Some of you may be able to catch it lower.

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Hi Larry,
I am in same price as you via TOS.
Cheers,
Back to my insulating project

Anubis

Alpha_Dog_510

I’m in @ $23.33

Thank You, Jim

Abhijit D

Abhijit D

Thanks Jim. Waiting this out a bit watching market pairing the gains. This one alert i got both email and trxt but email was 1 hr late. Its ok asi now watch the website. Good call with the reminder post on Tue, that helped

Earl Holmes

Earl Holmes

Hey Jim. New at this. Pray tell how did we get even a little profit, as indicated in your alert, from BMA from the 11th until now? It closed at 76.60 on the 11th. I’m in with BKE.

Jim Pearce

Jim Pearce

We issued that buy alert the morning of the 11th when BMA was trading near its low for the day, and issued today’s sell alert also in the morning when BMA was trading higher than it is now which are the numbers I was looking at when I wrote the alert since that is how I track them. However, our data feed automatically provides COB pricing for all of our holdings regardless of when we actually issued the alert, which is what you see in the portfolio table. Regardless of which way you do it, it basically worked out to a wash.

Abhijit D

Abhijit D

I am bit worried with the DJI rally. There are no movements in key “trump favorite” sectors apart from healthcare. Should we wait on Buckle until Fri? approaching 19K is just unrealistic, no?

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Abhijit D,
“Don’t worry, be Happy”. John Murphy tells his readers what sectors are performing well
And is a career expert on inter market analysis. I get great info from him at Stockcharts.com. Just to make 1 example Dow transports are doing very well.
Yesterday I thought US steel symbol X could be up – and wow was it!
Cheers, remember we are in the best 6 months of the year.
And don’t forget, our fearless leader Jim Pearce is a man with a plan.

Abhijit D

Abhijit D

Ok – In @ 22.70 and boom the ask’s went to 22.65 .. haa haa 🙂 Regardless, thanks Jim.

Dramatic License

Dramatic License

You got in at a better price than most of us today. 🙂

Abhijit D

Abhijit D

Ya gotta wait those volume, you SW rich fellows are pulling in thousands lol .. am a small fish 😉

Jim Pearce

Jim Pearce

BKE released quarterly earnings this morning, which came in below expectations for earnings (http://finance.yahoo.com/news/buckle-inc-reports-third-quarter-120000815.html). However, the stock has moved higher this morning after initially dropping on the open, so the management team’s discussion of the results (conference call happening now) must include some positive forward guidance. We’ll know a lot more later today when the minutes of that meeting are released, but so far so good.

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BKE, TheChart is close to a 62% retirement from a recent low on Nov 1. Impressive!
http://schrts.co/DlBJqD
Cheers

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We have a strong mover in BKE today! Chart is looking good.

Jim Pearce

Jim Pearce

Yes it does, so it will be interesting to see how it reacts when it starts bumping into resistance near $26. If it breaks through that, then we may in and out of this trade a lot quicker than I anticipated.

Skippie2000

Skippie2000

The earnings were poor in the 3rd quarter and what I read they are not going to get much better in the 4th quarter. I am holding a small gain, but I am thinking this stock is not looking very good. Do you still have a strong conviction for the stock going forward?

Jim Pearce

Jim Pearce

Of all the current open positions, I’ll admit BKE is the most confounding since its current metrics don’t look that great yet the stock continues to appreciate. Also, none of the 7 Wall Street investment banking firms following BKE have it rated as a ‘buy’ (5 of them have it as a ‘hold’, the other are underperform/sell), so the current buying strength is a bit of a puzzle. But that also suggests there may be something else going with the stock so I am reluctant to unload it until I know what that is. One oddity about BKE is that 104% of its float is held by insiders and institutions, meaning almost 1/3 of the 15% short ratio is owned by them in addition to all of the outstanding shares. That doesn’t leave much stock for everyone else, which amplifies the effect a little buying (or selling) has on its share price. So, ether there is some short covering going on or one of its fund/institutional owners is adding to their position since (presumably) none of the Wall Street firms are actively recommending it to their clients.

Larry Johnson

Larry Johnson

During the last few minutes of today’s market, someone (or some entity) made two large purchases of BKE: 46214 shares each time for a total of 92,428 shares at $24.50/share. They did similar purchases with Cardinal Health (CAH). I suspect it was the same entity in both cases. Are they reading Systematic Wealth…LOL??? Hope it pans out for them…and for us!!!

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Larryn I think this means that we have what is called Institutional support. This is something IBD of William O’Neil always points out is important for we retail investors.
Good catch Larry! I’d say its good for all members in the trade.
Buckle up haha

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Here is a link to my newly marked up chart on BKE. http://schrts.co/IuabhI
what I want folks to do is go down to the RSI block and read the annotation.

Cheers

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Larry was that you buying 6344 shares of BKE a few minutes ago?

:^)

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