Buy Alert: IPG Photonics (IPGP)

TRADE INSTRUCTIONS
Date: 
June 21, 2017
Name: IPG Photonics Corp.
Symbol: IPGP (NasdaqGS)
Type: Open
Limit: Buy below $147

TRADE TARGETS
Holding Period: 
3 months
Target Return: 10.2%
Annualized Return:
 40.8%
Target Price: $162
Stop Loss Level: $122

COMPANY DESCRIPTION
IPG Photonics Corporation is a developer and manufacturer of a line of fiber lasers, fiber amplifiers, diode lasers, laser systems and optical accessories that are used in materials processing, communications, and medical applications. Its products are designed to be used as general-purpose energy or light sources. The Company sells its products globally to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs), system integrators and end users. Link to company website.

TRADE RATIONALE
I guess our Rapid Profits Matrix is feeling cocky after getting a 3% gain in CACC only two days after recommending it, so today it is targeting IPG Photonics as its next mid-cap sleeper pick. It’s not hard to see why; over the past five years IPGP has increased its annual revenue at an average rate of 15.8% while improving earnings at a 15.7% clip. That means the company’s management team is not resorting to accounting chicanery to improve its earnings results, further evidenced by its 38% jump in sales revenue during the past year.

This company is on a roll, using its financial muscle to acquire two companies over the past thirty days. Normally that type of activity would cause a company’s share price to drop temporarily until the financial benefits of those transactions start to kick in, but IPGP has held steady and remains near its all-time high as a result of reporting a 50% jump in YOY earnings growth and a 43% profit margin during its most recent quarter.

It appears the market for IPG’s laser products is about to get a whole lot bigger, thanks to the rapidly expanding array of AR/VR apps being used in the markets that it serves. Those apps consume a considerable amount of light and energy to run, both of which are enabled IPG’s lasers. I have put a three-month target holding period on this trade, but I wouldn’t be surprised if we hit our target gain shortly after the company’s next set of quarterly results (and forward guidance) are released at the end of July.

Note: Since IPGP has a high share price, buying deep-in-the-money call options may be a less expensive way to participate in this trade.

Stock Talk

Derek Myers

Derek Myers

My trade:

BTO Oct 20 145 call
STO Oct 20 155 call
Net Debit: 3.85 Potential ROI 160%
($6.15/$3.85)

Derek

Curtis H

Curtis H

Hi Derek, do you plan to keep us apprised of what you do with this trade over time? Please let me know. Thanks, Curt

Derek Myers

Derek Myers

Sure, I’d be happy to keep you informed and up to date on what I do with the trade.

Derek

Derek Myers

Derek: Las Vegas, NV

Closed for $7.86 credit for 100%+ return in 40 days.

Curtis H

Curtis H

That is awesome! Looking forward to seeing more. Thanks, Curt

Rick

Rick

I bought the Oct 140 Calls at $12.10.

Dramatic License

Dramatic License

Why, oh why, do I not take the gain and run? Bad opening this morning.

Jim Pearce

Jim Pearce

This is the only news I see on IPGP this morning (https://finance.yahoo.com/news/ipg-photonics-announce-second-quarter-120000768.html), so no idea why the stock would react negatively to simply confirming the date that the next quarterly earnings report will be released. To me, this looks more like a sell order that was executed on the open that temporarily disrupted the supply/demand equilibrium, so let’s see how it behaves later in the day before jumping to conclusions.

Dramatic License

Dramatic License

Thanks, Jim. I appreciate the rational words. Hate seeing such a huge, sudden drop, as we all do.

Dramatic License

Dramatic License

Back on track now, so strange blip. Has done really well for us.

Jim Pearce

Jim Pearce

This morning’s 3% spike – again, on no news (so far) – suggests some speculative buying in advance of the company’s upcoming earnings release/forward guidance. Will be interesting to see how it trades over the next week leading up to that August 1 announcement.

James Fletcher

James Fletcher

I think it was because Canaccord downgraded it. Canaccord had very successfully upgraded it a year ago. They put a $152 target according to Finviz. Interestingly it was unusually active last night with several sells.

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