Buy Alert: Bofi Holding (BOFI)

TRADE INSTRUCTIONS
Date: 
May 4, 2017
Name: Bofi Holding
Symbol: BOFI (NasdaqGS)
Type: Open
Limit: Buy below $24.25

TRADE TARGETS
Holding Period: 
4 months
Target Return: 18.6%
Annualized Return:
 54.8%
Target Price: $28.25
Stop Loss Level: $22.25

COMPANY DESCRIPTION
BofI Holding, incorporated in 1999 as “Bank of the Internet” and based in San Diego, operates as the holding company for BofI Federal Bank that provides consumer and business banking products in the United States. In addition, the company offers prepaid card and refund transfer, debit card or ATM card, portfolio management, online bill payment, money transfer, overdraft protection, mobile banking, and text message banking services. Link to company website.

TRADE RATIONALE
Our Rapid Profits Matrix has had an on-again/off-again relationship with Bofi Holding over the past two years, ever since allegations by a disgruntled former employee surfaced that senior management did not disclose illegal banking activities by some of its overseas customers sent its share price careening. That makes its stock look cheap whenever it dips down on the newest class-action lawsuit filing, but then jumps back up on the latest quarterly earnings report which is usually strong.

Lately, the stock has been on a downswing due to a rumor reported by the New York Post on March 31 that the SEC and Treasury Department are investigating these charges, which has triggered another round of ambulance-chasing by Wall Street law firms (example). As a result, its share price has dropped from above $32 on March 1 to below $24 today.  

I don’t expect BOFI to recoup that 25% drop right away, but I do think it will gradually recover as investors focus on its impressive operating performance. Two weeks ago BOFI reported its highest net income ever for a quarter, increasing 14% over the same quarter last year. It is also benefitting from higher interest rates, which combined with its rapidly growing commercial lending unit should expand its profit margin during the current quarter.

This is a risky trade, but beneath the haze of as yet unsubstantiated allegations is a very solid bank that is grossly undervalued based on its financial performance. My guess is the company will eventually reach a settlement with regulators, at which time the stock should quickly bounce back up towards its fair value.  

Note: BOFI is optionable, but trades on very low volume so use limits when placing orders.

Stock Talk

Dramatic License

Dramatic License

I think I’d like to play this one with options, but am on the fence as to what approach to take. Thoughts?

black arrow

black arrow

ever thought of a straddle?

Dramatic License

Dramatic License

I haven’t done a straddle before.

black arrow

black arrow

By the By I did not mean to imply I was intending to to a straddle on this specific stock.

black arrow

black arrow

I am putting my first one on currently. You need to pick a good middle of a range number, the interesting thing is it is irrelevant if it goes up or down as long as does not stay same.

Dramatic License

Dramatic License

Interesting. I am still reading up on different strategies. Currently have just done covered calls and long calls.

Jim Pearce

Jim Pearce

I’m not sure why, but BOFI was up more than 2% today while the overall stock market was flat! Were any of you guys in the market today buying up a few hundred thousand shares? 🙂

Dramatic License

Dramatic License

No comment…but seriously, good question. 🙂

Maria R

Maria R

Will you issue a sell on BOFI? thanks

Jim Pearce

Jim Pearce

I don’t have a choice. By rule, if a stock closes below its dividend-adjusted stop price then I have to sell it, so based on BOFI’s closing price today I will issue a sell alert tomorrow. However, (and I will mention this in the alert) I still think it is an interesting speculation that could pay off if the company can resolve its legal issue soon so if own the stock you may prefer to sit on a bit longer to see if it recovers.

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