ID Analysts

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Analyst Articles

In the meantime, we’re still holding the Lockheed Martin (LMT) December 18, 2010 70 call option and the Teva Pharmaceuticals (TEVA) December 18, 2010 50 call option, looking for them to advance further, although our patience with trades is wearing thin.   We heard more good news for… Read More

Stocks are in need of a breather following last week’s gains, when blue chips were up 2 percent. The tech-heavy NASDAQ 100 was the real standout, up 3.5 percent. The small caps, using the unweighted average of all stocks on the New York Stock Exchange, were up a more muted 1.6 percent. Several aspects of this action are worth mentioning. Read More

We’re looking for Lockheed Martin (LMT) to use the $72 level as a base to stage a move to the $75-$76 area, but we’re a little concerned about the timing of the move. Continue to hold the December 18, 2010 Lockheed Martin (LMT) 70 call option, for now, but be prepared to sell shortly on our signal if it fails to show good relative strength.   We expect similar action from Teva Pharmaceuticals (TEVA), with trading centered around $53.50 acting as a springboard to carry the stock to $56.50 or so, just north of the stock’s 200-day moving average. Hold on to the Teva December 18, 2010 50 call option in anticipation of that advance.   Those nationwide protests against austerity measures we told you were planed for Romania are taking place this week, prompting the country’s Interior Minister (who is in change of internal security) to resign. Again, everything points to Gabriel Resources (GBU.TO, GBRRF) getting eventual approval to bring its Rosia Montana gold project into production. In the meantime, gold flirting with $1,300 certainly hasn’t hurt. Stick with the stock; we see plenty more upside left in the shares.   Our lone disappointment is the Technology Select Sector SPRD ETF December 18, 2010 21 put option. The underlying ETF has given up ground with the market’s recent advance but is now quite overbought and will be among the market’s worst performers should the market correct. Hold.   Read More

Well its official now, the National Bureau of Economic Research, the group tasked with dating the beginning and end points of the business cycle, declared yesterday that the recession ended in June of 2009. Read More

The market’s rally has been good for two of our positions, bad for a third. The December 18, 2010 Lockheed Martin Corp. (LMT) 70 call option and Teva Pharmaceuticals December 18, 2010 50 call option should be held in anticipation of further gains.   The Technology Select Sector SPRD ETF (XLK), on the other hand, has taken a beating in this rally. We’ll hold on to the Technology Select Sector SPDR December 18, 2010 21 put option a while longer as a hedge in light of the less-than-impressive action in equities.   Shares of Gabriel Resources (GBRRF, GBU.TO) jumped sharply on Friday on news that that the Romanian government has given the go-ahead for the country’s Technical Analysis Committee to proceed (effective immediately) with its environmental permitting process for Gabriel’s Rosia Montana project. This is a key step in the Environmental Impact Assessment of the project and it paves the way for the company to bring the gold mine, the largest in Europe, on line. While it may be tempting to “sell the news,” we’re holding on to the shares as the news removes the biggest risk facing Gabriel. Should it receive full approval to start up operations—and we expect it will—the stock will climb much higher. In the meantime, with the shares trading above $5, we expect it will attract the attention of more institutional investors.   Read More

One look at yesterday’s stock market closing numbers from around the globe and you know the world is collectively breathing a bit easier these days. Igniting the move was strong economic data out of China. An accelerating Chinese economy is clearly seen as being good for the rest of the world. Read More

We added the December 18, 2010 Lockheed Martin Corp. (LMT) 70 call option in anticipation of a move into the low to mid $70s. The option can still be purchased if you don’t own it yet.   Thousands of Romanian state workers are planning a nationwide strike at the end of the month to protest wage cuts. Other trade unions are also planning to take to the streets this month. There’s been no progress for gold miner Gabriel Resources (GBU.TO, GBRRF) in starting up its mine in Romania, but the protests are a symptom of the country’s ailing economy and the mounting pressure on the government to spur growth. And as we’ve said Gabriel could play an important role in job creation.   Teva Pharmaceuticals (TEVA) has spent the last couple of days solidifying its gains of the prior few weeks. It may trade sideways to a while longer, but additional gains seem quite likely. Hold on to the Teva December 18, 2010 50 call option to benefit from that move.   The Technology Select Sector SPRD ETF (XLK) has rallied along with the market and is now coming into overhead resistance. We’ll hold the Technology Select Sector SPDR December 18, 2010 21 put option a bit longer in anticipation of it faltering here.   Next regularly scheduled issue, Tuesday, September 21.   Read More

Stocks ended last week with a three-day, 5 percent rally. Much as we’d like to see indications that the economy remains on firm footing, we can’t get too worked up about the news. Read More

There’s nothing to report with junior gold miner Gabriel Resources (GBU.TO, GBRRF) that we haven’t said already. The Romania economy like others on Europe’s periphery is in a tough spot. At some point the government should give the company the nod to proceed with its halted Rosia Montana project which… Read More