1/28/16: Don’t Fill Up on Global Partners

MLP Profits is downgrading Global Partners (NYSE: GLP) to a Hold and dropping it from the Best Buys list following a distribution cut. 

Stock Talk

Tom Light

Tom Light

THANK YOU FOR THIS INFO!!!!!!!!!!!!

Jim Keen

Jim Keen

Well it looks like the ‘Eight you can’t hate’ became what? ‘The Magnificent Seven’?
Guys, this is really frustrating, on January 19 you put a hold call on all MLPs except for these eight and then you get blindsided by a distribution cut. Isn’t this the exact thing that you should be watching.

It seems to me that in this climate, if there is an MLP that is truly healthy it would be buying back its stock rather than trying to increase the distribution.

I like the idea of boiling it down to a few picks but wow GLP was really a swing and miss.

Guest

Kris Vassallo

These guys are analysts not Carnac the Magnificent.

Mr. Ed, The Talking Horse

Mr. Ed, The Talking Horse

Agree with Jim. This was a bad call. Previous analysis stated coverage is 1.6x, secure, and days later large cut in dividend, layoffs, and resulting downturn in price.

Igor Greenwald

Igor Greenwald

Obviously a bad call, but there were no clues that I can find even now that this was coming, and certainly none in the partnership’s recent financials or management comments. So, looking back, I’m not sure that I would have done anything differently without the benefit of hindsight. I’ll be very interested in a fuller explanation and obviously the forecast from management when Global reports results on March 10. Finally, not as an excuse but rather as additional perspective on the recent market action, GLP closed at 15.86 on 1/19, the day before the MLP sector’s most recent low point. It’s now at 16.11. There were safer picks on that Best Buys list that were identified as such, and others offering more upside potential along with the extra risk. Another pick, Capital Products Partners, has rebounded 29% since 1/19. I feel exactly as responsible for that one as I do for GLP, which is to say not at all. I attempted to provide accurate, timely analysis on the relative value of MLPs based on the information available at the time. You get to decide whether I succeeded or failed, and to what degree.

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